The Inexorable Melt: new evidence that glaciers in West Antarctica are past the point of no return

This paper has already caught on around the mainstream media - related articles can be found at CNN and an NPR blog - but I thought I’d add my two cents here. Some new research has just come out from UC-Irvine and NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory showing that glaciers in West Antarctica will inevitably melt within the next century or so, based on forty years of evidence that their grounding line is rapidly retreating (published here in Geophysical Research Letters). So, what is a grounding line and what does this mean for sea level rise?

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

First, let’s figure out where this is all happening - the South Pole, the continent of Antarctica. As you can see above, there are a host of glaciers - Pine Island, Thwaites, Pope, Smith, and Kohler - that reside along this western segment of Antarctica. Glaciers are enormous, dense blocks of ice that slowly move or change shape. They always form on land, but can move toward water over long (in the geological sense - meaning very long!) times. These glaciers gradually transition to ice shelves - the Eastern, Cross, Dotson, for example - again shown above, which are huge slabs of ice that completely rest on water. Glaciers transform to ice shelves as the ice moves along a coastline, moving from a substrate of land to water. The initial location where the glacier rests on land is known as the grounding line, shown below.

As this figure alludes to, once ice from a glacier has moved past the grounding line, now becoming an ice shelf, water can circulate beneath the ice. When this water is warm enough, ocean currents moving beneath the ice shelf can melt the shelf, turning the ice to water. There are massive amounts of water in these glaciers and ice shelves, so large-scale melting results in sizable, measurable, sea level rises. As the warm ocean water continues to move past the glacier, more and more ice melts, cutting away at the ice and moving the grounding line farther and farther back inland (to the left in the above figure) - this is known as grounding line retreat.

And this is exactly what the paper has found to be happening at a very quick rate over the past 40 years! The researchers used a very clever measurement tool (as scientists are known to develop) to measure the grounding line, which is often located under kilometers of ice and difficult to spot. Using satellite imaging, researchers can collect data of the horizontal and vertical movements of the glaciers. Of special importance here, ice shelves - and glaciers making this transition at the coastline - can be seen to bob vertically with the dies, whereas glaciers on land do not share this behavior. Therefore, the grounding line can be estimated as the location where this vertical oscillatory behavior ends.

Using this measurement and combing through the past forty years of data, the researchers have found that the glaciers shown above have had their grounding lines retreat on the orders of 10-40 kilometers. In addition, they have found no sign of hills or higher elevation upstream from the grounding lines, meaning that, once the glaciers begin to slide into the water, no geographical constraints can prevent them from falling all the way in. This, combined with previous measures of flow speeds, all combine to indicate that these glaciers are past the point of no return - eventually they will slide completely into the water and melt! The speed at which the grounding line is retreating is thought to be due to higher wind speeds at the ocean surface, leading to faster and warmer ocean currents, along with ozone depletion.

Using estimates based on the size of the glaciers under consideration, the researchers guess that sea level could rise about 3 feet by 2100 due to these glaciers alone. This would currently displace about 100 million people, not taking into account population growth over the next century. It’s time we start thinking about solutions!

References

ResearchBlogging.org

Rignot, E., Mouginot, J., Morlighem, M., Seroussi, H., & Scheuchl, B. (2014). Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica from 1992 to 2011. Geophysical Research Letters DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060140

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Landmark fracking lawsuit: jury sides with family’s nuisance complaint

The U.S. has had its first anti-fracking verdict! Lawsuits against hydraulic fracturing companies have been appearing more and more recently, but , in the past, companies could usually repel these legal suits by citing the fact that they are operating within the air quality regulations of a given state. Unfortunately, these regulations are in woeful need of update - but that’s another story.

Instead, a Texas family, the Parrs, took a different approach. They filed a nuisance complaint against several fracking companies near their ranch. The family had begun experiencing a multitude of medical problems, seemingly out of the blue, such as rashes, nosebleeds, shortness of breath, and dizziness. When they consulted with a neighbor who had been keeping diligent track of the timing of particular fracking operations, they found that the medical symptoms (and subsequent emergency room trips) correlated quite well with when spills or leaks had occurred at the fracking sites.

Figure courtesty of http://www.dailymail.co.uk/

Figure courtesty of http://www.dailymail.co.uk/

This has appeared to be enough evidence for the jury. Although most of the companies decided to settle out of court, one - Aruba Petroleum - thought it had a good chance of winning and thus let the case go to jury. Instead, the jury sided with the Parrs and and awarded them 3 million dollars.

The particular interest in this story lies in the fact that the Parrs used a nuisance complaint to sue Aruba. Apparently, this type of legal complaint allows for a broader argument that the fracking operations are interfering with neighborhood property and does not require the breaking of specific governmental air quality regulations. This may set a key precedent for future fracking lawsuits so that companies can be held accountable for the environmental and medical mayhem they seem to be causing (examples abound: my previous blog post, the Gasland II documentary, and an Environment America report , along with many more similar stories!) Meanwhile, the policy battles will continue to see if Congress will update air quality regulations to include new data regarding the impact of fracking.

P.S. The actual petition filed by the Parrs can be found here if you’re interested in the legal details.

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New cell on the block: dopants and improved efficiency in perovskite halide solar cells

The solar cell industry has been looking for a hot new material to use for some time now. Silicon solar cells are reaching the limits of their optimization and efficiency increases for traditional materials for thin film solar cells have stagnated a bit. Luckily, there’s a new competitor on the block generating a lot of excitement - perovskite-based photovoltaics.

Figure courtesty of www.solarnovus.com

Figure courtesty of http://www.solarnovus.com

Figure courtesty of www.en.paperblogger.com

Figure courtesty of http://www.en.paperblogger.com

The excitement mainly surrounds the fact that these solar cells can be solution-processed at low temperatures, which promises low costs and deposition onto flexible substrates so that they can be used for a wide range of environments (phones, windows, or more creative places I can’t think of!). The current research challenge is to get energy efficiencies (the percent of energy from incoming light converted to electrical energy - this is always what we want to maximize in designing a solar cell) of these types of cells in a range that makes them commercially viable - say, in the 20 percent area to start. A new study in Journal of Physical Chemistry Letters has demonstrated an efficiency close to that range, but, more importantly, has delineated the key characteristics influencing efficiency that will allow researchers to focus on optimizing performance.

Perovskite refers to a general crystal structure (illustrated above) that can be synthesized using many different combinations of elements that fit together with the general form of ABX3, where A, B, and X each stand for a different type of element. This means there will be 3 X atoms for every A or B atom (ignoring disorder or doping for the moment!). Here, the authors used methylammonium (CH6N) for A, lead (Pb) for B, and iodine (I) for X, so we have a the perovskite (CH6N)PbI3, which has previously shown the highest efficiencies for any perovskite solar cell.

Starting from this basic structure, the authors then fiddled with the amount of iodine in the samples of the material they used. This is known as substitutional doping - in place of a small percent of iodine, they put in their bromide (Br) or chlorine (Cl). Then, they see how this changes the properties of the material - absorption of light, solar cell efficiency, etc. From the image below, you can see that the pervoskite actually changes color as you add Br - from black to red to yellow! Adding Br also increases the band gap of the system, which determines the minimum energy light required to excite an electron that can then be extracted for electrical use (bottom right).

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

Ok, so that gives us some basics about how changing the chemical composition affects the perovskite’s electronic structure, but what about its use as a solar cell? Well, here comes the most important of the study. When the researchers added chlorine as a substitutional dopant to the system, the open circuit voltage (Voc), short circuit current (Jsc), and the effiency (η), all are increased (purple bars) compared to no Cl (grey bars). Voc and Jsc are both the crucial parameters of a solar cell that dictate efficiency, so you want to operate a solar cell at a particular point that has both high Voc and Jsc. The authors also tested placing the perovskite on different support substrates - remember, the perovskite part is in solution, so it must be placed on a more robust substrate. Here, they test an aluminum oxide (Al2O3) compared to a TiO2 substrate, and found the Al2O3 always performs better (blue-green bars along the bottom row).

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

The authors used a technique called impedance spectroscopy to explore why the Cl dopants and the Al2O3 substrates led to such an increased efficiency. They found the main cause to be a reduced recombination rate in these materials compared to the undoped perovskite and the TiO2 substrate. Recombination is the process in which an excited electron (excited from the incoming light), loses energy and can no longer be extracted to use for energy. We want to reduce this rate as much as possible so we can extract as many excited electrons for energy. So, for some reason, the chlorine and Al2O3 substrate reduce this time and make it easier to extract them from the perovskite.

These kinds of studies are great because they 1) demonstrate the potential of a new material, and 2) open up so many new questions for other researchers to explore. In particular, since I do computational work, am excited to try to model some of these materials, play around with the levels of chlorine, and see what new interesting physics I can find. Whatever the reasons, this study gives hope that a new, cost-effective material could be very promising for next-generation solar cells!

References

ResearchBlogging.org

Suarez, B., Gonzalez-Pedro, V., Ripolles, T., Sanchez, R., Otero, L., & Mora-Sero, I. (2014). Recombination Study of Combined Halides (Cl, Br, I) Perovskite Solar Cells The Journal of Physical Chemistry Letters, 1628-1635 DOI: 10.1021/jz5006797

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Removal of crop residue for biofuels increases carbon dioxide emissions

Back in 2007, Congress passed the US Energy Independence and Security Act, which was intended to be a mechanism towards removing our country’s dependence on petroleum and promote renewable energies. The Senate opposed the original bill’s attempt to cut oil subsidies, so the final bill instead focused on a production mandate of cellulosic ethanol set at 61 billion liters per year by 2022 (more info can be found here). Researchers and companies have been pushing along towards this mandate, and one of the main methods of accumulating the biomass necessary is through crop residue. Imagine a corn field - crop residue is all the excess stalks and leaves from the plants that fall and cover the soil.

Crop residue seems, at first glance, to be a great source of biomass that’s not being used for anything else. However, a new study in Nature Climate Change has shown that removal of the crop residue increases CO2 emissions to the atmosphere due to increased soil erosion and oxidation when the crop waste is removed. A tremendous amount of organic carbon (about 2700 Gigatons) is stored in the soil, mainly from plant matter that has decomposed. Removing the crop residue exposes the soil to water and wind, both of which promote erosion and the subsequent escape of carbon, as well as oxidation, in which organic carbon is oxidized to become CO2.

To arrive at this conclusion, the authors used a massive supercomputer simulation to model CO2 emissions from corn fields across the Midwest. They had access to a data regarding the level of organic carbon in the soil and plugged this into a model that took into account the balance between oxidation rates (loss of carbon) and new carbon inputs from residue and roots (gain of carbon). Results from the model were tested against and agreed well with actual data regarding CO2 emissions from fields in Nebraska.

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

Above is the first major result. The dashed line shows the predicted SOC levels in the soil with residue removal, whereas the solid line shows the same without residue removal (the gray shaded region showing the difference). Clearly, residue removal decreases the amount of organic carbon in the soil, attributed to oxidation and erosion as discussed above. The cool thing about this study is that they had access to soil organic carbon data across a lot of the Midwest, so they could then predict which areas have the greatest loss due to residue removal.

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

Here, we can see that Wisconsin and Minnesota (dark blue areas) have the greatest organic carbon loss from the soil. The authors explain this due to the low temperatures of the North, which slow oxidation and keep a lot more organic carbon in the soil. This leaves the potential for much more extraction when the system is perturbed, for example, by residue removal, leading to the elevated values.

The authors directly compare these results with the mandates set by Congress. The model predicts that 50-70 g CO2 are emitted to the atmosphere for every megajoule of energy generated from the biofuels (created from the residue that was removed). This level of CO2 emissions will lead to an inability to meet the greenhouse gas emission reduction that Congress set to be met by 2020. One possible solution is to use compost or some other substitute to cover the soil once residue is removed. Interestingly, this issue has already been known to farmers for a long time, as residue has apparently been used as standard practice to prevent erosion and keep carbon in the soil. Now it’s official, research-wise, and we’ll see how our legislators respond.

References

 

ResearchBlogging.org

Liska, A., Yang, H., Milner, M., Goddard, S., Blanco-Canqui, H., Pelton, M., Fang, X., Zhu, H., & Suyker, A. (2014). Biofuels from crop residue can reduce soil carbon and increase CO2 emissions Nature Climate Change DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2187

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Hold the drill! Fracking emitting more methane than previously thought

As politically divisive as hydraulic fracturing is, we still need much more data to determine its environmental effects before deciding if it can be major source of energy during our transition away from fossil fuels. Unfortunately, this lack of data apparently means that companies are able to begin large operations without knowing all the costs, due to a lack of regulations that should probably be there while more research is done.

This brings us to a new study published in PNAS that shows orders of magnitude larger methane emission from well pads at fracking sites that were not previously thought to be significant contributors to greenhouse gas emission.

Methane is a substantial greenhouse gas contributor.. It actually has about thirty times the global warming potential of carbon dioxide (CO2), but plays less of a role due to its smaller overall percentage in the atmosphere. But there has been a disturbing trend over the past decade of an increase in methane concentration in the atmosphere - thus the great importance in understanding when and where we are emitting it! In fact, if methane emissions are large enough, fracking may be on the same level as coal in terms of warming potential.

This study used an aircraft to fly over well pads and measure methane emissions from individual plumes coming from the pads. These flights occurred during June 2012 in southwestern PA, and they measured the flux of CH4 coming from each pad (measured in CH4/s, or CH4/s/km^2 if not integrated over a particular area).

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

This figure basically says it all - the orange dotted line is the sampling region where the aircraft measured methane emissions. The red circles and green and blue lines are measures of parts per million (ppm) of CH4 measured. Across the sampling region, a regional flux of 2-13 g CH4 /s/ km^2 was measured. The authors then integrated over distance and averaged across all the wells in the sampling region, and found a flux of 34 g CH4 /s per well, orders of magnitude beyond previous estimates.

What’s more surprising is that these wells had not even become fully operational - the companies were still drilling down to depth. Thus, these emissions are basically leaks during preparation that have previously been unaccounted for. Just to have it hit home, here’s another figure showing methane emissions as a function of horizontal distance vs altitude for several pads near Tau (see first figure):

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

 

Although I’m not an expert on this area of study, the authors appeared to be diligent about controlling for other possible sources of methane emission (although the figure above shows it’s clearly emitting from a ground source!). It’s hard not to be biased about fracking after seeing results like this - clearly we are moving way too fast and expanding fracking sites before we know what harm we’re doing. We just don’t have a good enough picture of what the long-term consequences are.

Reference

 

ResearchBlogging.org

Caulton, D., Shepson, P., Santoro, R., Sparks, J., Howarth, R., Ingraffea, A., Cambaliza, M., Sweeney, C., Karion, A., Davis, K., Stirm, B., Montzka, S., & Miller, B. (2014). Toward a better understanding and quantification of methane emissions from shale gas development Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1316546111

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An unexpected actor: role of arid environments in terrestrial carbon uptake

Anthropogenic climate change has become a household phrase, spreading throughout our culture as more and more research describes the effect of fossil fuel emissions on both CO2 levels in the atmosphere and average global surface temperatures. But our society’s CO2 emissions are part of a much larger carbon cycle that has existed for much longer than our species. The cycle involves, in one direction, the natural emission of CO2 from volcanic eruptions and outgassing from the Earth’s mantle, balanced in the other direction by the uptake of CO2 by the ocean and land.

800px-Carbon-cycle-full

The ocean uptake is well understood, as carbon dioxide dissolves in surface waters to create calcium carbonates, carbonic acids, and the like. The carbonates then slowly drop to the bottom of the ocean, leak into the Earth’s mantle, and are emitted again through eruptions and outgassing to complete the cycle. Our role as fossil fuel users can be seen above in the blue ‘fossil carbon’ line, as we dig into the crust and combust fossil carbons that have entered the soil eons ago as organic matter.

Terrestial carbon uptake, on the other hand, is a bit of a mystery. We know that it exists, but the science community has usually inferred it to be whatever is left over after taking into account ocean and human-directed mechanisms to balance the emission and uptake. However, a very cool, 10-year study has just appeared in Nature Climate Change that definitively shows the important role that arid environments play in carbon uptake. This is crucial information, as arid environments have largely been ignored in this capacity due to their lack of plant matter, relative to forested environments, that are usually considered to be the main actors in taking up carbon through photosynthetic processes. This information will be especially important as we begin to develop in more arid environments, as this will likely take away from the carbon uptake potential of these ecosystems and leave more of the CO2 sitting in the atmosphere.

Figure courtesty of Desert Research Institute: University of Nevada - Las Vegas

Figure courtesty of Desert Research Institute: University of Nevada - Las Vegas

This is the satellite view of of a plot of land used in the study. Nine such samples exist as part of the Nevada Desert Free-Air CO2 Enrichment Facility (NDFF, for less of a mouthful) in the Mojave Desert. Each site is 23 meters in diameter, and, over a ten-year period (1997-2007), three of each were exposed to three different CO2 fumigation conditions: 1) no fumigation; 2) ambient CO2 fumigation (current); and 3) CO2 fumigation matching the level expected to be in the atmosphere around 2050 (elevated).

After the ten years, biomass and soil were collected and their carbon content was measured. Significantly greater organic carbon was found in the elevated condition, demonstrating that the environment sucked up more organic carbon if more was in the surrounding atmosphere. This was mainly found in the soil and not in plants, which the researchers say contrast more fertile ecosystems, which show increased plant mass with increased atmospheric CO2. The research found that this increased carbon content in the soil was likely due to increased photosynthetic processes, as plants under elevated CO2 conditions almost double their photosynthetic rates.

This is one of the first studies to demonstrate significant carbon uptake in an arid ecosystem. These findings should stimulate more research on carbon uptake in unexpected terrestrial environments (i.e., non-forested) so we can begin to get a clearer picture of the exact mechanisms of terrestrial capture. This knowledge will be imperative as our civilization continues to expand into new territory, possibly cutting off more and more avenues of carbon uptake that will leave more CO2 in the atmosphere to expedite global warming.

Reference

 

ResearchBlogging.org

Evans, R., Koyama, A., Sonderegger, D., Charlet, T., Newingham, B., Fenstermaker, L., Harlow, B., Jin, V., Ogle, K., Smith, S., & Nowak, R. (2014). Greater ecosystem carbon in the Mojave Desert after ten years exposure to elevated CO2 Nature Climate Change DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2184

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Nanoporous silicon a promising material for next-generation lithium-ion batteries

Tiny batteries for your cell phone or camera that can hold days of charge? Although it may seem like fantasy, this is the goal for researchers looking into new materials for lithium (Li) - ion batteries. Current state-of-the-art technology uses a graphite anode, which is the electrode in the battery where the Li is stored during charging of the battery and discharged during use. The capacity of the anode is a crucial quantity, as it relates to how much charge can be stored in the battery and used before needing to plug it in to recharge.

Capacity depends mainly on the chemistry and binding between the anode and the Lithium. Theroetically, silicon should have about ten times the capacity of graphite, however it’s been difficult for researchers to find a way to develop cheap silicon electrodes that don’t expand and break when charged with lithium. Fortunately, a recent study in Nano Letters has found a method to create anodes using nanoporous silicon very cheaply that limits volume expansion while providing greater capacity!

The researchers chose to use a metallurgical Si because of its cost ($1000/ton compared to $50,000/ton for nanoporous Si that is pyrolized at high temperatures. What’s metallurgical Si (I had to look it up too :))? Basically, silicon is naturally found on Earth with a significant portion of other metals. Metallurgical grade silicon is >98% pure Si, usually made by heating SiO2 to about 2000 C with some carbon material such as charcoal or coal.

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

The key process the researchers discovered was a method to create porous Si from the metallurgical Si as shown above. They did this as follows. They happened to have a metallurgical Si sample that was made of about one percent iron (Fe) and aluminum (Al) impurities (basically, this means Si atoms substituted by either Fe or Al about one percent of the time). They first ground the silicon into a fine powder, then soaked the powder in ferric etchant made of (Fe(NO3)3) and HF. This etchant alone made a porous Si precipitant that could be used as the anode material!

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

 

This all seems very simple, but the researchers describe the process through some basic physics. The etchant acts as a reservoir full of holes (C above) which are attracted to the Fe impurities in the Si, which contain localized electrons (the yellow blob in D, above). These electrons and holes react and the iron leaves, creating a void in the silicon lattice and its resulting porous nature. This is definitely a great place where future research could help identify the best etchant and Si dopants to create porous Si with the highest capacity!

Figure courtesy of [1]

Figure courtesy of [1]

The end result if a battery anode with much better cycling capability. The cycle number above refers to the number of charge/discharge cycles tested using a given anode in batteries the researchers created in-house. In blue, the non-etched anode shows poor cycling, as its capacity along the y-axis decreases significantly with the number of cycles. This demonstrates probably large volume expansion of plain old silicon with charging that leads to pulverisation and destruction of the anode. With the etched anodes using the process described above, the capacity maintains high for large numbers of cycles, especially using the Fe(NO3)3, compard to another type of etchant used, FeCl3. This shows the importance of using the best type of etchant that will react with the impurities in the silicon to create voids in the lattice.

These results should inspire lots of more related studies examining similarly cheap methods to create porous materials for anodes. In particular, it will be important to find an optimal doping level of the silicon that provides the best porous structure with the most surface area for Li sites without creating too fragile a crystal structure.

References

 

ResearchBlogging.org

Ge, M., Lu, Y., Ercius, P., Rong, J., Fang, X., Mecklenburg, M., & Zhou, C. (2014). Large-Scale Fabrication, 3D Tomography, and Lithium-Ion Battery Application of Porous Silicon Nano Letters, 14 (1), 261-268 DOI: 10.1021/nl403923s

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